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Predicting Next-Gen Console Sales With Last-Gen Numbers


Submitted by thankeeka on May 2, 2007 - 9:33am. General News

Graphs sure are pretty, but I prefer pie graphs over line graphs. Mmmm...pie graphs. In this article, the future of the console war this gen is going to be analyzed by graph stats from last gen to see if there will be any trend and once again the same console companies will fall into the same final standings when all is said and done.

From the article:

You can learn a lot from the past. Gauging the current state of the console wars is no different; historical context can be enormously helpful. In this article, our goal is simple: to predict the commercial victors of the next-gen console war.

But how? Easy: by comparing the sales of the last-gen consoles -- the PS2, Xbox, and GameCube -- to the current crop of next-gen consoles using a concept called "sales velocity". Sales velocity is just a fancy name for how fast (or slow) something sells over a period of time. In this case we'll examine the launch numbers and examine the complete last-gen sales cycle. And even though the data is U.S. only, what bodes well here generally bodes well globally and vice-versa (with the occasional exception, such as the PC Engine's monstrous success in Japan).

Read the full article over at gamepro.com


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